CEE region set for return to growth in 2017: Coface

The automotive industry has overtaken oil and gas as the largest sector in central and eastern Europe (CEE) for the first time, according to international trade credit insurer Coface on launching its survey of the top 500 companies in the region. Profits generated by CEE’s leading 500 companies fell 3.1% to €26.3bn last year, while turnover at €580bn dipped 0.6%, driven by a 5.6% fall in the oil and gas sector.

“The improving macroeconomic environment has had a positive effect on business, with company insolvencies dropping by 6% in 2016 and 14% in 2015,” said Katarzyna Kompowska, CEO of Coface in CEE. Improvements in the labour market have brought unemployment rates in CEE to an all-time low, and are now lower than western Europe, Coface added.

Coface said traditional industries declined last year but newer ones stepped up. Nine of the 13 sectors included in its latest report increased turnover during the year. Along with oil and gas, the energy, metals, and mechanical and engineering sectors all recorded decreased turnover, with mechanical and engineering down 59%.

Some 20%, or 102, companies in the top 500 ranking were from the automotive and transport sector in 2016, up from 17% in 2015.

Poland remains the region’s largest player and increased turnover by a further 3.3% last year.

Coface said despite the slowdown in 2016, CEE growth is expected to return in 2017 and 2018 and is set to grow by 3.4% and 3.3% respectively.

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